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Influence diagrams summarising sequential knowledge acquisition

Our second example extends the use of portraying partial adjustments on influence diagrams, and introduces the notion of path correlation. Consider the model (1), and suppose that we observe runs of the experiment in batches with three observations of both product yields in each batch. Thus batch 1 consists of the observations tex2html_wrap_inline2279 , and so forth. We will adjust the unknowns by each of the four batches sequentially. (Where experimentation is very expensive, it is obviously useful to identify the point at which further experimentation is expected to contribute little extra knowledge.)



David Wooff
Thu Oct 15 11:27:04 BST 1998