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Expectation specifications

Our Doctor specifies 4.16 as her expectation for the fasting blood-glucose level of a healthy elderly person. This value is suggested by previous studies on healthy young people, and the Doctor's belief that the fasting blood-glucose level is about the same for both the young and the elderly.

However, the Doctor's expectation for the two-hour blood-glucose level for a healthy elderly person is 6.25, somewhat larger than the value of about 5.5 suggested by previous studies on the young. The Doctors's expectation specifications are thus as follows.

eqnarray466

Notice that the Doctor specifies the same expectations and covariances about tex2html_wrap_inline8580 and tex2html_wrap_inline8582 as she does about tex2html_wrap_inline8546 and tex2html_wrap_inline8550 . This is because at this stage the doctor believes herself to be quite typical.



David Wooff
Thu Oct 15 12:20:04 BST 1998