WPMSIIP 2016

9th Workshop on Principles and Methods of Statistical Inference with Interval Probability – Durham, 2-6 September 2016

Programme

The timing for the programme on Friday is fixed.

For each of the other days, we will have a number of presentations, with up to 60 minutes per presentation. Each presentation should consist of at most 30 minutes of actual talking, followed by at most 30 minutes of discussion. The afternoons are reserved for open floor discussions but we can spill over talks to the afternoon if need be.

Friday 2 September

• 9:00-10:30 Edoardo Patelli: Advanced examples of imprecise simulation in engineering [SIPTA school].
• 10:30-11:00 Coffee break.
• 11:00-12:00 Reflective group discussion about imprecise probability research questions and challenges for the next decade [SIPTA school + WPMSIIP].
• 12:00-13:00 Sandwich lunch.
• 13:00-14:30 Walk to Durham brewery.
• 14:30-16:00 Durham brewery visit.
• 16:00-17:30 Walk back to Durham.

Saturday 3 September: Reliability

Lead:

Start at 9:15am.

• Introduction (Gero Walter)
• Incorporate Uncertainty in Power Network Reliability analysis: Classical Approaches and Generalized Probabilistic Approaches (Roberto Rocchetta)
• Determining generic costs of indeterminate predictions: proposal and open questions (Sebastien Destercke)
• Uncertainties in short term power system reliability management (Evelyn Heylen)
• Some challenges in modelling reliability of battery packs (Matthias Troffaes & Louis Aslett & Dan Rogers)

Sunday 4 September - Machine Learning

Lead:

Start at 9:15am.

• Introduction (Sebastien Destercke)
• Actively querying superset labels using indecision: the k-nn case (Sebastien Destercke)
• On the developments, connections, and opportunities of incorporating Relational Frame Theory within AI Recommender Systems (Angela McCourt)
• Challenges on the use of imprecise prior for imprecise inference on the Poisson sampling model (Chel Hee Lee & Mik Bickis)
• Sufficiency in statistical modelling of interval data (Thomas Augustin)

Monday 5 September - Elicitation

Start at 9:15am.

Lead:

• Introduction (Peter Craig)
• What should we elicit? (Peter Craig)
• Partially specified beliefs and inprecisely specified utilities in health technology assessment (Malcolm Farrow & Kevin Wilson)
• TBA (Ullrika Sahlin)

Tuesday 6 September - Open Topics

Start at 9:15am.

Lead:

• Introduction (Matthias Troffaes)
• Imprecise Inference for 2x2 tables (Mik Bickis)
• Challenges on the imprecise inference for the measure of association in 2x2 tables (Chel Hee Lee & Mik Bickis)
• Checking avoiding sure loss and a problem in gambling (Nawapon Nakharutai & Camila Caiado & Matthias Troffaes)
• Calculating the maximal distance between coherent lower previsions that coincide on a finite set of gambles (Damjan Škulj)